Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.002017 4.307270 4.634149 5.011865 5.438362 5.907473 6.465868
2025-04-13 3.431506 3.843756 4.313608 4.895066 5.604363 6.453801 7.567581
2025-04-20 3.106438 3.572427 4.126226 4.845163 5.772931 6.958643 8.639939
2025-04-27 2.943261 3.459674 4.095451 4.955842 6.123734 7.709872 10.138850
2025-05-04 2.815337 3.370344 4.074333 5.061991 6.464568 8.479804 11.805683
2025-05-11 2.665543 3.236364 3.977457 5.047437 6.624019 8.999504 13.187397
2025-05-18 2.531763 3.110927 3.877958 5.013370 6.742115 9.462476 14.569216
2025-05-25 2.379785 2.949920 3.716150 4.871744 6.675676 9.612096 15.411222
2025-06-01 2.259163 2.823598 3.592775 4.773736 6.662547 9.842204 16.456711
2025-06-08 2.183870 2.754676 3.544723 4.782548 6.818406 10.383932 18.286817
2025-06-15 2.134806 2.718881 3.540682 4.856495 7.087551 11.171708 20.919307
2025-06-22 2.027434 2.594759 3.399688 4.702929 6.948012 11.155707 21.616004
2025-06-29 1.930311 2.484934 3.279780 4.584183 6.875357 11.297006 22.878062
2025-07-06 1.845349 2.389566 3.177446 4.488325 6.837474 11.512549 24.471195
2025-07-13 1.780446 2.320247 3.110403 4.445068 6.890724 11.930553 26.864286
2025-07-20 1.754135 2.306133 3.126603 4.542144 7.219754 13.026503 32.097124
2025-07-27 1.728495 2.291374 3.140279 4.635076 7.552220 14.214004 38.666756
2025-08-03 1.681716 2.242311 3.096439 4.622343 7.667873 14.894012 43.842818
2025-08-10 1.634569 2.190604 3.045466 4.592528 7.743676 15.489517 49.281552
2025-08-17 1.571308 2.111704 2.946640 4.468430 7.603355 15.465026 51.530635
2025-08-24 1.519293 2.048482 2.870864 4.382413 7.538380 15.645879 55.245365
2025-08-31 1.488492 2.017159 2.846191 4.390152 7.683180 16.478396 64.267115
2025-09-07 1.470072 2.004436 2.851638 4.455055 7.966502 17.821919 79.833588